A Look At the Numbers – Predictions on the Next States That Will Legalize Pot

PotSo you might be wondering who will be next to follow Washington state and Colorado’s lead?  A simple look at the numbers gives us a pretty good clue as to which dominoes will tumble next:

Number One - California:
It’s sort of amazing that what is often considered the nation’s most liberal lifestyle state still hasn’t legalized pot, but it’s only a matter of time.  The powerful conservative forces in Sacramento and elsewhere have been able to stave off things for a good while now, but pubic opinion no longer seems to be as strongly in their favor as nation-wide, voter’s attitudes towards recreational pot use keep growing more tolerant and resigned to the fact that eventually pot will be legalized in all of the U.S.  Several recent polls amongst CA voters back up this change in the wind. With a narrow defeat of Ballot Propositon 19 (53.5% vs. 46.5%) back in 2010, there is no doubt that the next ballot battle is going to be something worthy of a Bush vs. Gore type finish, but I predict that Pot Power is going to smoke the opposition in the end.  The California cannabis initiative has already been cleared by the state to gather the necessary 500,000 signatures of registered voters by Feb 24 in order to qualify for the general election balloting on November 14, 2014, and it is well on its way towards that goal.
Number Two – Oregon
The last legalization drive, Measure 80, fell short in 2012 (55%-45%), but 2014 is shaping up for another showdown. Multiple polls have shown that as high as 63% of voters are now in favor of legalization and taxation of this soon to be cash crop.  Let’s face it, politically, Oregon and it’s northern sister, Washington, are usually connected at the hip, so the pressure on Oregon is even higher these days to follow suit. 
 
Number Three – Maine:
The Pine Tree state will soon become even more friendly to some “trees” of a different nature.  Last November’s Portland, Maine green light for recreational pot use has set the state legislature into a whirlwind not seen since lumberjack Paul Bunyan and his ox were clearing timber.  The most recent Public Policy Poll (PPP) shows that currently, 48 percent of Mainers are pro-Pot.  Portland is the state’s largest and most important city, so the gauntlet has been dropped for the rest of the state, for the fight to come. It may not be too much longer before Mainers can follow up their fresh lobster feast or morning stack of pancakes with a good smoke of weed. Pass the pot-laced maple syrup please.
The Tide is “High” for the Future:
Suffice it to say that with the strong and clear stance taken by both Colorado and Washington electorate and lawmakers, the flood gate of momentum has really come crashing open for the rest of the nation to consider like never before. This “opening up” of attitudes and general trend of relaxing from intolerance of pot smoking will strongly favor different voting results the next time around when the ballot initiatives resurface.  Face it folks, the push for legalization is not just going to pack it up and go home.
What does seem clear is that the “greener” states seem to be leading the way. These are generally the same type of places where environmental issues or tolerance of same sex marriage is very important.  I’d expect places like Alaska, Hawaii, Vermont and Rhode Island to soon be right up there in following suit once California, Oregon and Maine jump aboard.
Safe prediction on which state would be the last hold-out…Yep, you guessed it, Alabama. It may still be a long while before the land of “Roll Tide” is really allowed to roll.  ;)

6 thoughts on “A Look At the Numbers – Predictions on the Next States That Will Legalize Pot

  1. I believe it will just be a matter of time until California,Maine and Oregon become the next states to legalize pot…And with our current recession, the question would be which state isn’t going to legalize pot? Because I believe legalization would only help give a boost in the economy in any state…so why not legalize it in every state if Colorado and Washington can?

  2. I’m also surprised California was not the first state to legalize it completely. I lived there for a few years and even in sacramento the people I knew were very pro-weed. Now I am in Texas and the young people there are generally for legalization. As we start replacing the older generation I think our ideas will begin to replace theirs as well in our legal systems. I don’t have any proof to back it up, but in my experience same-sex marriage and weed are both favored heavily by the young people of today that have just started being able to vote recently.

  3. Interesting article. While I think it’s pretty clear (as you outlined) which states will be next in following Colorado and Washington–I am very curious as to the last holdout. Obviously it will be in the South. But why Alabama over Arkansas, Louisiana or Georgia?
    The hard part is already over in getting a few states to legalize cannabis. But how many years will it take to get the whole country on the same page? I’m thinking not that long.

  4. The big tobacco guys have been prepping for the legalization of marijuana for a while now…waiting to jump in and make their bucks. And let’s face it, when all is said and done, money, and the ability to make more of it, is really what will determine where and when marijuana is legalized next. Once the figures are reported from Colorado, those states waiting in the wings, CA, OR, MA, and many many more will jump on the bandwagon.

  5. Watching the Southern states legalize it is going to be quite the spectacle. As someone who lived in an area of Kentucky that was Dry for at least an hour in all directions (and which was only changed last year), I’m curious to see how this will play out.

  6. I can’t imagine what society would be like if they legalize pot across the country since we’re all so use to it being know it’s a “bad drug.” But I’m curious to see what effect it would take on if it gets well known that everyone in society does smoke it.

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